WASHINGTON, D.C. (Feb. 11, 2025) – Cygnal, one of the nation’s fastest growing and most accurate private polling firms, released its monthly National Voter Trend (NVT) poll (conducted February 4-5) of 1,500 likely general election voters.
“Throughout the election we highlighted just how far out of touch Democrats had become from the American public, and now after Trump’s victory and a breakneck pace of action on his campaign promises, it’s pretty clear Dems haven’t learned much,” said Pollster and Cygnal President, Brent Buchanan. “Take the ticked-off, young, diverse, working-class voters that propelled Trump to the White House for example. They were a key constituency that gave Trump an edge over Harris as white voters stayed flat in their margin for Trump. Today, they’re not nearly as ticked-off, as they are more optimistic than ever about the direction of our country – in less than a month. If you’re on Team Trump right now, you’ve got to be feeling good about these numbers and quick progress they’ve made already with voters.”
“In the over two years since we began fielding these national monthly surveys, Trump’s approval rating is at an all-time high, and this is matched by another all-time high in optimism about the direction of the country, across every single demographic we measure,” said Pollster and Director of Client Strategy, John Rogers. “Swing voters are plus seven percent in support of Trump’s efforts, led by Elon Musk, to right-size the federal government, and swing voters are plus 29 percent in support of the Trump administration’s actions on illegal immigration. In comparison, Congressional Democrats are rudderless and unpopular, with a net image of negative 14 (40% favorable/54% unfavorable) among all voters.”
Key Takeaways:
Black Men Love Trump: the political realignment from November appears to be accelerating as Trump continues to make inroads with historically Dem-leaning constituencies. 42% of black men approve of the job Trump’s doing, and 4-in-10 have a favorable opinion of him.
Top Issues: inflation and the economy (32%) are now the main concern by a country mile. Trump’s crackdown on illegal immigration appears to have lowered concerns from 21 percent to 17 percent in just a month.
Democrats in the Dumps: only 40% of voters have a favorable image of Democrats in Washington compared to 54% who hold an unfavorable view of the caucuses led by Chuck Schumer and Hakeem Jeffries. Favorability of congressional Republicans is split at 47% favorable, 48% unfavorable.
COVID for Sure from a Lab: two-thirds agree that COVID-19 more likely originated from a Chinese lab leak than natural causes. Only 17% agree with Anthony Fauci and Democratic Leadership that the virus arose from natural causes.
Vibe Check: people are way more optimistic – in just a month since our last NVT, those who say the country is on the wrong track have plummeted 14 percent since last month.
Trump’s Wins:
Merit vs. DEI: two-thirds (64%) believe government should hire based on merit and experience instead of racial and gender identity, including 55 percent of Hispanics and 41 percent of Democrats who say merit should take sole precedent. Twenty-eight percent say both should be considered, while only 3% believe racial and gender identity should be the only factor for hiring
JFK, RFK, MLK Declassification: 56 percent support Trump’s executive order to declassify files relating to the assassinations.
Crackdowns: 53 percent support Trump’s actions on stopping illegal immigration and bolstering border security. 55 percent oppose sanctuary cities that refuse to assist law enforcement and/or harbor criminal aliens.
DOGE Time: 46 percent of folks support Elon Musk’s efforts to reduce government bloat and spending, including 44 percent of swing voters and 41 percent of independents.
Tariffs on China: 50 percent of people support Trump’s imposition of 10 percent tariffs on goods coming into the United States.
Greenland: a plurality (44%) support acquiring Greenland through diplomatic/economic means while 32 percent, mostly Democrats, oppose it.
Mixed Reviews:
Birthright Citizenship: 45 percent support children of illegal immigrants gaining automatic citizenship while 41 percent oppose it.
Tariffs on Mexico and Canada: more people support tariffs on Mexico (43%) than Canada (39%).