Florida Poll: Death Knell for Democrats Among Hispanics, Trump Captures More Than Half, Leads Harris Among Puerto Ricans; Scott in Solid Position
WASHINGTON, D.C. (October 30, 2024) – Cygnal, one of the nation’s fastest growing and most accurate private polling firms, released the following Florida statewide poll (conducted Oct. 26-28) of 600 likely general election voters. “What we’re seeing among Hispanic voters in the Sunshine state is a death knell for Democrats’ political hopes in Florida,” said Pollster John Rogers. “Among Hispanics, Trump leads Kamala Harris by 10 points, Rick Scott leads by 8 points in the US Senate race, and Governor DeSantis has a +14 net image.”
Read MoreTexas Poll: Harris Drags Allred Down as Democrats’ White Whale Disappears
WASHINGTON, D.C. (October 29, 2024) – Cygnal, one of the nation’s fastest growing and most accurate private polling firms, released the following Texas statewide poll (conducted Oct. 26-28) of 600 likely general election voters. “For years, Texas has been the ‘white whale’ for national Democrat donors and operatives—but once again, the Lone Star State will remain red—likely more red than in 2020,” said Pollster, John Rogers. “Don't expect that to change—in addition to the Rio Grande Valley's shift to the right, new Texans also favor Cruz, Trump, and the GOP.”
Read MoreEarly Vote Results Appear in National Poll; Vance’s Image Improves Post-Debate; Key Voter Groups Want Split Control of Government
WASHINGTON, D.C. (October 8, 2024) – Cygnal, one of the nation’s fastest growing and most accurate private polling firms, released the following national poll (conducted Oct. 2-3) of 1,500 likely general election voters. “In the final month before Election Day, Harris’ image is leveling off, indicating she has likely reached her peak favorability,” said Pollster and Cygnal President, Brent Buchanan. “Meanwhile, Trump is polling better than he has historically, and those so-called ‘shy’ Trump voters, are no longer reserved about their support for him. On voters’ top issue of inflation and the economy, Republicans still hold the advantage, but a surge in messaging on a specific economic vision for the future is a must. The numbers are tight, but this emphasizes the importance of turnout operations and making sure low-propensity voters who tend to lean toward Trump show up. Both Trump and down-ballot Republicans also have an opportunity to turnout the late deciders, those who this poll shows plan to make their decision a few days prior to or on Election Day.”
Read MorePost-Debate Poll Reveal Tight Race: Trump and Harris Neck-and-Neck in Key Battleground Districts
WASHINGTON, D.C. (September 18, 2024) – Cygnal, one of the nation’s fastest growing and most accurate private polling firms, released the following national battlegrounds poll (conducted Sept. 11-13) of 1,503 likely general election voters. “While Harris enjoys a post-debate bump across these battlegrounds, Trump's numbers have remained stable since March,” said Pollster and VP of Polling, Brock McCleary. “The biggest delta in this data is the job approval of Trump's time in office versus the current Biden-Harris administration. This provides a clear path for Trump to win by contrasting how voters felt about their circumstances, and the direction of the country, when he was at the helm. The numbers for Harris represent a correction in the data that demonstrates how severely Americans were rejecting Joe Biden in July, not that they adore Harris in September. The data shows Trump voters like and support him more as a candidate than do Harris voters. If Trump can sustain his narrow advantage and down-ballot Republicans can weather September's disparity in negative advertising, Republicans can close strong in October.”
Read MoreMichigan Statewide Poll: Rogers within striking distance of Slotkin as Republicans gain ground across the state
WASHINGTON, D.C. (September 10, 2024) – Cygnal, one of the nation’s fastest growing and most accurate private polling firms, released the following Michigan statewide poll (conducted August 28 – September 1, 2024) of 600 likely general election voters.
Read MoreNational Poll: Nearly Half of Voters Blame Democrats for Inflation and Rising Costs; Trump-Harris Tied Despite Increased Participation by Younger Voters
WASHINGTON, D.C. (September 10, 2024) – Cygnal, one of the nation’s fastest growing and most accurate private polling firms, released the following national poll (conducted September 3-5) of 1,510 likely general election voters. “Ahead of tonight’s debate, it’s important to point out nearly half of voters (46%) blame the Democratic Party’s policies for the rising costs of inflation which isn’t great for Harris considering over two-thirds of voters hold her at least somewhat responsible for the Biden-Harris administration’s policies,” said Pollster and Cygnal President, Brent Buchanan. “Harris may have favorable mainstream media coverage and advertising advantages, but this race remains a statistical tie, and opinions formed of her are still soft and could easily swing. She has the most at stake in this debate and the most to prove to swing voters who are feeling the inflationary impact most.”
Read MorePennsylvania Poll: Despite political turbulence, McCormick remains within striking distance of Casey
WASHINGTON, D.C. (August 16, 2024) – Cygnal, one of the nation’s fastest growing and most accurate private polling firms, released the following Pennsylvania statewide poll (conducted Aug. 14-15) of 800 likely general election voters. “For all that has happened in Presidential politics over the last month and a half, the race for Senate in Pennsylvania is becoming immune to political volatility. The withdrawal of President Biden has done nothing to improve the reelection prospects of Senator Casey,” said Cygnal and Trump 2020 Pollster, Brock McCleary.
Read MoreNational Poll: 2024 Election Has Re-entered Stasis while Trump/Republicans Maintains Advantage
WASHINGTON, D.C. (August 14, 2024) – Cygnal, one of the nation’s fastest growing and most accurate private polling firms, released the following national poll (conducted August 6-8) of 1,500 likely general election voters. “Post-debate, we’ve seen the largest single month-over-month movement towards Republicans across-the-board, from R+0 to R+4, in the history of our national polling,” said Pollster and Cygnal President, Brent Buchanan. “President Biden’s image worsened to 62 percent having an unfavorable view of him after 67 percent of respondents said they watched his disastrous debate performance. Trump’s performance earned him 4 points of undecided debate-watchers and another 3 points from those who were Biden supporters heading into the debate. There’s little question this has further eroded the political environment for Democrats.”
Read MoreCygnal Announces Winners of Second Annual ARRO ‘30 Under Thirty’ Awards
WASHINGTON, D.C. (August 6, 2024) – Cygnal, the nation's fastest growing and most accurate private GOP polling firm, announced it has opened the nomination process for the second annual America’s Rising Republican Operatives (ARRO) ‘30 Under Thirty’ Awards. Nominees for ‘30 Under Thirty’ are individuals recognized by their peers as leaders of a rising generation of ambitious and talented professionals working in government, politics, or advocacy groups.
Read MoreBattleground Poll: Majority of Biden Voters Want Him to Withdraw as Trump Surges Ahead by Seven Points After Clear Victory in First Debate
WASHINGTON, D.C. (July 10, 2024) – Cygnal, one of the nation’s fastest growing and most accurate private polling firms, released the following national battleground poll (conducted June 30 – July 1) of 1,515 likely general election voters. “Biden’s debate performance has further fractured the Democratic coalition with Black and young voters,” said Pollster and Vice President of Polling, Brock McCleary. “It’s clear the debate was an inflection point as 57 percent of Biden’s 2020 battleground voters think he should step aside. On the eve of the GOP convention, Trump leads by 21 percent among voters who say they are voting FOR their candidate and not AGAINST his opponent.”
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