National Survey: Classified documents, ’24 presidential matchups, and Roe impact
WASHINGTON D.C. – A survey of 2,529 likely 2024 general election voters – conducted by the international polling and predictive analytics firm Cygnal – shows former President Donald Trump and President Joe Biden’s classified documents scandals have canceled each other out, Governor Ron DeSantis performs slightly better than other GOP candidates in a hypothetical 2024 presidential race, and despite people being bothered by the decision, only 9% of voters report the overturning of Roe v. Wade having a negative impact on them.
Read MorePOLL: Midterm shakeup, DeSantis within 5% of Trump
WASHINGTON D.C. – A survey of 1,019 likely Republican presidential primary voters – a much larger sample than many recent primary polls reported on in recent weeks – conducted by the international polling and predictive analytics firm Cygnal shows former President Donald Trump has slipped a few points on the presidential primary ballot while Florida Governor Ron DeSantis’ image and ballot standing are on the rise.
Read MoreMichigan – A Polling Experiment Explained
Gretchen Whitmer dominated the Michigan governor’s race, winning by a large margin. Our polling firm, Cygnal, set out with an experiment to test our Momentum tracking methodology against traditional tracking polls.
Read MoreCygnal Momentum Tracking Poll: Michigan Statewide – 11/5/22
For our last MI tracking poll, we show Governor Whitmer with a 4%-point lead on the gubernatorial ballot that shrinks to three and a half points when leaners are pushed. Democrats are leading in the other races as well, despite Republicans holding the edge on the generic congressional ballot.
Read MoreCygnal Momentum Tracking Poll: Ohio Statewide – 11/4/22
We believe that about a quarter of voters have already voted in Ohio as we enter the final weekend before Election Day. In this writeup, we’ll explore where we have the final ballots and then a few different turnout scenarios for the Senate.
Read MoreCygnal Momentum Tracking Poll: Michigan Statewide – 11/3/22
The races have tightened with Republicans reclaiming the lead on the generic ballot, as Biden’s approval takes a small hit. Whitmer has also slipped just under 50% but after pushing undecided, comes back out to a 5-point lead. The top of the ticket for the governor’s race seems to be mirroring the images on these questions.
Read MoreCygnal Momentum Tracking Poll: Ohio Statewide – 11/2/22
Biden’s unfavorable share remained above 61% for our second tracker in a row as inflation ticked up as a top issue to a new high of 37.2%. This number is even higher among those who have yet to vote, as shown below, so it’s even more potent as an issue
Read MorePOLL: Republicans Continue to Grow Momentum in Lead Up to Election Day
WASHINGTON D.C. — A survey of 2,015 likely midterm voters, conducted by the international polling and predictive analytics firm Cygnal, shows the GOP leading the generic ballot by 3 points headed into the final week of the midterm cycle.
Read MoreCygnal Momentum Tracking Poll: Michigan Statewide – 11/1/22
The Democratic advantage on the generic ballot ticked back down to a one-point lead. Not much moved in the gubernatorial race with a six-and-a-half-point lead still for the incumbent Democrat, but the favorable gap between Whitmer and Dixon is now five points (that usually can be a leading indicator).
Read MoreOctober National Voter Trends Panel
In our October National Voter Trends Panel, Cygnal President & Founder Brent Buchanan and Director of Sampling & Innovation Noah Wyhof-Rudnick delivered key insights into the data shifts from the past month before midterms.
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