An extensive survey of voters in the “bellwether” Pennsylvania counties that could determine who wins the state found that former President Donald Trump holds a slim lead over Vice President Kamala Harris and is favored on the issues they say are most important to them, according to results released by Cygnal exclusively to The Daily Wire.
The two counties, Erie and Northampton, have voted with the winning side in every election since 2008 — they sided with President Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012, Donald Trump in 2016, and Joe Biden in 2020. Pennsylvania is considered one of the most important battleground states in the 2024 election with most polls showing a statistical tie between Trump and Harris.
Trump is ahead in the swing districts by just one percent, 49 to 48, according to the Cygnal survey.
“In a reversal from 2020, Pennsylvania’s ‘Bellwether Counties’ have narrowly swung back to Donald Trump,” the pollster wrote, determining that the former president is winning over traditional Democrat voters that view Harris as too radical. “As Democrats have a 4-point party registration advantage in these counties, this is further evidence of these ancestral Democrats increasingly leaving the party of their forefathers.”
As with the rest of the country, the economy and immigration are at the top of mind for bellwether voters, with 31% listing inflation and the economy as their top issue, and 24% saying the biggest issue is immigration and border security.
Former President Trump holds a 6-point lead on the economy (52-46) and a significant 15-point lead (56-41) on immigration. He’s also ahead by 6% on crime (52-46), while Harris holds a 14% advantage on abortion (53-39), though fewer than one in five bellwether voters share her position that it should be legal up until birth.
The poll found that the key for Harris is presenting herself as a moderate — only two-in-ten voters characterized Harris as a moderate, and she won the support of nearly all of them, 95%.
“This underscores the need of the Trump campaign to triple-down on defining Harris as the far-left, radical San Francisco Liberal she is,” Cygnal writes in its report. “50% of voters currently say Harris’s political ideology and beliefs are very liberal and Trump wins 87% of these voters.” (…)
Read the full article here: https://www.dailywire.com/news/exclusive-poll-trump-holds-slight-edge-in-pennsylvanias-swing-counties
Image: DailyWire, Harris: Jacek Boczarski/Anadolu via Getty Images / Trump: Rebecca Noble/Getty Images