Battleground Poll: Majority of Biden Voters Want Him to Withdraw as Trump Surges Ahead by Seven Points After Clear Victory in First Debate
WASHINGTON, D.C. (July 10, 2024) – Cygnal, one of the nation’s fastest growing and most accurate private polling firms, released the following national battleground poll (conducted June 30 – July 1) of 1,515 likely general election voters. “Biden’s debate performance has further fractured the Democratic coalition with Black and young voters,” said Pollster and Vice President of Polling, Brock McCleary. “It’s clear the debate was an inflection point as 57 percent of Biden’s 2020 battleground voters think he should step aside. On the eve of the GOP convention, Trump leads by 21 percent among voters who say they are voting FOR their candidate and not AGAINST his opponent.”
Read MoreNational Poll: Republicans Not-Named-Donald-Trump Make Largest Month-Over-Month Gain while Trump Doubles Net Margin Lead
WASHINGTON, D.C. (July 5, 2024) – Cygnal, one of the nation’s fastest growing and most accurate private polling firms, released the following shock national poll (conducted July 1-2) of 1,500 likely general election voters. “Post-debate, we’ve seen the largest single month-over-month movement towards Republicans across-the-board, from R+0 to R+4, in the history of our national polling,” said Pollster and Cygnal President, Brent Buchanan. “President Biden’s image worsened to 62 percent having an unfavorable view of him after 67 percent of respondents said they watched his disastrous debate performance. Trump’s performance earned him 4 points of undecided debate-watchers and another 3 points from those who were Biden supporters heading into the debate. There’s little question this has further eroded the political environment for Democrats.”
Read MorePennsylvania Poll: First Fielded Straddling the Debate – Trump with Strong Lead and McCormick within Striking Distance of Casey
WASHINGTON, D.C. (July 1, 2024) – Cygnal, one of the nation’s fastest growing and most accurate private polling firms, released the following Pennsylvania statewide poll (conducted June 27-28 – the day of before the debate started and the day after the debate) of 800 likely general election voters. The poll was managed by Cygnal pollsters Brock McCleary, a Pennsylvania native, and Brent Buchanan, the company’s president.
Read MoreCygnal Announces Second Annual ARRO ‘30 Under Thirty’ Awards Nomination Process
WASHINGTON, D.C. (June 25, 2024) – Cygnal, the nation's fastest growing and most accurate private GOP polling firm, announced it has opened the nomination process for the second annual America’s Rising Republican Operatives (ARRO) ‘30 Under Thirty’ Awards.
Read MoreNational Poll: Trump Leads Biden by 2 points; Trump’s Conviction Shows No Signs of Weakening Him; ‘Threats to Democracy’ Now Weapon of Choice for Dems
WASHINGTON, D.C. (June 12, 2024) – Cygnal, the nation's fastest growing and most accurate private polling firm, released the following national poll (conducted June 4-6, 6-8) of 1,500 likely general election voters. “Abortion has been replaced with threats to democracy as the main messaging weapon against Republicans. It is a more nebulous term with no clear definition from voter to voter which gives the left more flexibility with messaging and attack ads,” said Pollster and Director of Political Strategy, Mitch Brown. “We’re also watching Independent voters very closely since they list threats to democracy and healthcare (an issue otherwise largely dormant in previous cycles) among their top issues. These are people who mostly view both parties as extreme and are more motivated by issues more than the negatives of candidates, but their erratic behavior in the polls poses a significant challenge for campaigns that are under water with their base and swing voters.”
Read MoreBattleground Poll: Trump’s First-Term Approval Hits New Highs; Only 3 Percent of Voters Support Antisemitic Protests; Voters Reject Biden’s Title IX Changes
WASHINGTON, D.C. (May 14, 2024) – Cygnal, the nation's fastest growing and most accurate private polling firm, released the following national poll of 39 battleground congressional districts (conducted May 6-8) of 1,500 likely general election voters. “Nostalgia for Trump’s first term continues to gain steam. Battleground voters now give Trump positive job approval for his four years in the White House while disapproval of Biden remains high,” said Vice President of Polling, Brock McCleary.
Read MoreStatewide Poll: Oklahomans Say Education is a Top Priority, Support Career Pathways, and Oppose Minimum Wage Hikes and Foreign Land Ownership
WASHINGTON, D.C. (April 17, 2024) – Cygnal, the nation's fastest-growing and most accurate private polling firm, released the following national poll (conducted Apr. 9-10) of 1,500 likely general election voters. “This latest national poll shows a new key voter group emerging. They are young, ticked-off, diverse, working-class, and trending toward Republicans. These voters also skew more female, tend to be younger than 45, and a majority voted for Trump in 2020,” said Cygnal Pollster Mitch Brown. “Despite aligning well with the GOP base, these voters are more moderate and slightly more likely to view the Republican Party as more extreme. And while both Trump and Biden are underwater, with Trump just a tad more than Biden, the main difference is that this group is much more inflation focused. At the same time, illegal immigration and tertiary issues like healthcare are distant priorities. This is both an opportunity and a challenge for Republicans. They will need to speak to those top issues while not appearing extreme on fronts that don’t appeal to those issues if they want to maintain the advantage with 18 percent of the electorate that could swing the outcome of the election.”
Read MoreNational Poll: A New Group of Young, Ticked-off, and Working Class Voters Has Emerged + New Impacts of Inflation
WASHINGTON, D.C. (April 17, 2024) – Cygnal, the nation's fastest-growing and most accurate private polling firm, released the following national poll (conducted Apr. 9-10) of 1,500 likely general election voters. “This latest national poll shows a new key voter group emerging. They are young, ticked-off, diverse, working-class, and trending toward Republicans. These voters also skew more female, tend to be younger than 45, and a majority voted for Trump in 2020,” said Cygnal Pollster Mitch Brown. “Despite aligning well with the GOP base, these voters are more moderate and slightly more likely to view the Republican Party as more extreme. And while both Trump and Biden are underwater, with Trump just a tad more than Biden, the main difference is that this group is much more inflation focused. At the same time, illegal immigration and tertiary issues like healthcare are distant priorities. This is both an opportunity and a challenge for Republicans. They will need to speak to those top issues while not appearing extreme on fronts that don’t appeal to those issues if they want to maintain the advantage with 18 percent of the electorate that could swing the outcome of the election.”
Read MoreStatewide Texas Poll: Trump, Cruz, Abbott Remain Strong While Democrats Struggle on the Top Issues; Voters Support E-Verify for All Businesses, Reject Woke Corporate Activism
WASHINGTON, D.C. (April 11, 2024) – Cygnal, the nation's fastest growing and most accurate private polling firm, released the following statewide poll of (conducted Apr. 4-6) of 1,000 likely general election voters in Texas. “Despite some national narratives about Texas turning blue, this latest survey shows good news for Republicans. Governor Abbott’s leadership in the state has helped to create a favorable political environment for Republicans up and down the ballot this November, while President Biden is a millstone around the neck of Texas Democrats,” said Cygnal Pollster John Rogers. “Democrats are losing ground with critical voting groups on major issues like securing the border—which has now become the top political issue for Texas voters both in state and federal elections. This is one among many reasons why Trump is leading statewide by nine points and by five points in the Dallas-Fort Worth and Houston media markets. Couple that with Allred’s slow start and poor name ID in the Senate race and it’s easy to see how Republicans remain well-positioned to keep Texas red.”
Read MoreBattleground Poll: Border Now Top Issue Surpassing Inflation; Soft on Crime Policies Rejected by Voters
WASHINGTON, D.C. (March 14, 2024) – Cygnal, the nation's fastest growing and most accurate private polling firm, released the following national poll of 39 battleground districts (conducted Mar. 5-7) of 1,500 likely general election voters. “On the issues most important to voters, the crisis at the southern border has surged in the last two months to the top of list in battleground districts,” said Vice President of Polling, Brock McCleary. “When asked about border enforcement, a large plurality said the government should enforce existing immigration laws and deport migrants in violation of it, including 52 percent of Independent voters.”
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